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Sturgis, South Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Sturgis SD
National Weather Service Forecast for: Sturgis SD
Issued by: National Weather Service Rapid City, SD
Updated: 3:39 pm MDT Mar 30, 2025
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Snow likely.  Cloudy, with a high near 34. Northeast wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Snow Likely

Tonight

Tonight: A 50 percent chance of snow, mainly before midnight.  Patchy fog after 9pm.  Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 26. Wind chill values as low as 19. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm.  New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Chance Snow
and Patchy
Fog
Monday

Monday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. Wind chill values as low as 19 early. Breezy, with a southeast wind 6 to 11 mph increasing to 19 to 24 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 37 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
and Breezy
Monday
Night
Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Breezy, with a southeast wind 17 to 22 mph decreasing to 8 to 13 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.
Chance
Showers and
Breezy
Tuesday

Tuesday: Rain before 5pm, then rain, possibly mixed with snow.  High near 43. Southeast wind 7 to 13 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Chance Rain
then
Rain/Snow
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Snow, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after 9pm.  Low around 27. North wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Rain/Snow
then Snow
Wednesday

Wednesday: Snow.  High near 35. Breezy, with a northwest wind 18 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Snow and
Breezy
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: A chance of snow before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northwest wind 12 to 17 mph decreasing to 6 to 11 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.
Chance Snow
then Mostly
Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: A chance of snow showers after noon, mixing with rain after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 41.
Partly Sunny
then Chance
Rain/Snow
Hi 34 °F Lo 26 °F Hi 45 °F Lo 32 °F Hi 43 °F Lo 27 °F Hi 35 °F Lo 26 °F Hi 41 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

This Afternoon
 
Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 34. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Tonight
 
A 50 percent chance of snow, mainly before midnight. Patchy fog after 9pm. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 26. Wind chill values as low as 19. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Monday
 
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. Wind chill values as low as 19 early. Breezy, with a southeast wind 6 to 11 mph increasing to 19 to 24 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 37 mph.
Monday Night
 
A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Breezy, with a southeast wind 17 to 22 mph decreasing to 8 to 13 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.
Tuesday
 
Rain before 5pm, then rain, possibly mixed with snow. High near 43. Southeast wind 7 to 13 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Tuesday Night
 
Snow, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after 9pm. Low around 27. North wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Wednesday
 
Snow. High near 35. Breezy, with a northwest wind 18 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday Night
 
A chance of snow before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northwest wind 12 to 17 mph decreasing to 6 to 11 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.
Thursday
 
A chance of snow showers after noon, mixing with rain after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 41.
Thursday Night
 
A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 10pm, then a slight chance of snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Friday
 
A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 43.
Friday Night
 
A slight chance of rain and snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Saturday
 
A slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 48.
Saturday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 27.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 49.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Sturgis SD.

Weather Forecast Discussion
821
FXUS63 KUNR 302311
AFDUNR

Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
511 PM MDT Sun Mar 30 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Light snow will continue into the evening over far western SD
 into Northeast WY, with little to no accumulation expected

-A series of disturbances will bring chances for rain/snow to the
 region through much of the week

-A stronger disturbance will bring a good chance of rain and snow
 to the region Tues, with snow accumulations possible Tues night

-Temperatures to remain mainly below seasonal norms through the
 week

&&

.DISCUSSION...(This Evening Through Sunday)
Issued at 149 PM MDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Potent Pac upper jet continues to support unsettled flow over the
Pac, bringing a series of impulses into the western CONUS. This
pattern will continue through the week, with several rounds of Pac
systems into the region. Weak impulse continues to move east
across the region today with another around of light snow moving
across northeast WY and far western SD. Light snow will move east
and diminish through evening, with little to no accums expected.
Cool and moist easterly upslope flow will continue overnight with
widespread low clouds. Patchy fog will also be possible along the
north and east slopes of the Black Hills. Deeper trough will move
into the western CONUS Monday and support increasing return flow
over the region. Gusty southeast winds will develop Monday with
some gusts over 40 mph possible across far NW SD. Temps will
struggle into 30s/40s given cloud cover and moist upslope flow,
with the warmest temps in western Campbell County where the BL
will mix out. Weak impulse will traverse the flow ahead of this
system with associated steep lapse rates and will support
scattered rain or snow showers over the western third. Isolate
thunderstorms will also be possible from northeast WY into far
southwest SD in the late afternoon and early evening. This area of
lift will support slightly better chances for mostly rain on the
SD Plains Monday night where pos theta-e adv will ensue. Some
freezing rain or snow will also be possible across NW SD a well,
hinging on how the thermal fields set up. The main/stronger wave
will push out of the Rockies Tue and support a good chance of rain
and snow over the region. Rain will change to snow Tue night with
some potential for concentrated banding per steep mid level
lapses rates and a strong FGEN signal. Low confidence remains per
details WRT this system, given poor model consensus and the fact
that snow amounts will likely be driven by mesoscale processes.
After Wed, things dry out with just some chances for showers at
times as semi-unsettled westerly flow continues. Temps will also
moderate some by the end of the week, but still remain around
seasonal norms.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS Through 00Z Monday Evening)
Issued At 509 PM MDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Light snow will slowly taper off through the evening hours, with
snow ending from west to east after 01-04z. Otherwise, lingering
low clouds and fog will result in MVFR to LIFR conditions through
the 10-12z, before gradual improvement is expected to transient
VFR and MVFR conditions Monday morning into the afternoon hours.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION/KEY MESSAGES...JC
AVIATION...SE
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